Planet of the Humans promotional shot c/o Matthew Carey's blog Non Fiction Film. From viewer's left to right: producer Ozzie Zehner, director Jeff Gibbs, and, executive producer Michael Moore. |
I found it to be an infuriating movie. In fact, I was so angry at it that I had to stop watching it after the first third and wait a day until I'd cooled off enough to finish it.
The fellow he's talking to says that "some solar panels are built to only last ten years". Think about that statement "some solar panels". Did you actually learn anything from it? Not really, because the important issue is "how many solar panels only last ten years?" I looked around and found out that the vast majority of solar panels last a lot longer than that---and the length of time that they do last keeps getting longer and longer as engineers get better at building them.
The first thing to understand is that "only last" doesn't mean that they melt into a puddle of goo after they've expired. Instead, the issue with solar panels is that their efficiency degrades over time. According to this 2014 article in Engineering.com titled What Is the Lifespan of a Solar Panel? by Tom Lombardo, the way we should understand a panel isn't "how long will it last?", but rather "how fast does the output degrade---under what conditions?"
Moreover, Gibbs doesn't allow for the potential that PV panels can be recycled. According to this website, they can.
&&&&
OK. Anybody can make a mistake. But how about this example? (It comes at a little over 42 minutes into the film.)
These are two examples that I've chosen to look into, but I suspect that there are lots of similar fibs, over-generalizations, and, dubious analogies. Gibbs uses what philosophers call "the Gish gallop". That's an informal logic error that happens when someone quickly throws a barrage of lies, half-truths, innuendos, etc, at someone and never allows him or her the time to think about the relative truth of what has been said. This turns on the fact that it takes a lot longer to analyze whether or not a specific statement is believable than it does to just say it. Gibbs says a lot of things in his film that I find hard to believe, but it has taken me quite a few hours to just deal with the two specific issues I've raised above. Most people don't have the time or ability to truth check what Gibbs is saying, so a lot of folks will simply take what he says at face value---which would be a very bad thing.
(If people are looking for a suggestion about how they should respond to this sort of thing, I'd recommend something that you might want to call "the Hulet hammer". That is, when you find someone like Gibbs playing "fast and loose" with the truth, simply decide that you will never listen to a word he says ever again. It's true that even a stopped clock is right twice a day, but the problem is that unless you have a properly functioning clock too, you won't be able to tell exactly what times of day the stopped clock is right. Frankly, I "hammered" Michael Moore a long time ago, but when my friend contacted me, I thought I might get an op ed out of it.)
&&&&
The really annoying thing about Gibbs is that I think that I agree with the point he was trying to make, but he did such an appallingly bad job of saying it, that it totally destroys the utility of the film. Here's a clip from an interview that I found on line.
Let me outline a couple issues that I had with it.
First, as near as I can tell, Gibbs plays fast-and-loose with the truth. Look at this clip from the film (it's a little over 30 minutes into the film).
First, as near as I can tell, Gibbs plays fast-and-loose with the truth. Look at this clip from the film (it's a little over 30 minutes into the film).
The fellow he's talking to says that "some solar panels are built to only last ten years". Think about that statement "some solar panels". Did you actually learn anything from it? Not really, because the important issue is "how many solar panels only last ten years?" I looked around and found out that the vast majority of solar panels last a lot longer than that---and the length of time that they do last keeps getting longer and longer as engineers get better at building them.
The first thing to understand is that "only last" doesn't mean that they melt into a puddle of goo after they've expired. Instead, the issue with solar panels is that their efficiency degrades over time. According to this 2014 article in Engineering.com titled What Is the Lifespan of a Solar Panel? by Tom Lombardo, the way we should understand a panel isn't "how long will it last?", but rather "how fast does the output degrade---under what conditions?"
there has been a general rule of thumb that says that Photo Voltaic (PV) panels lose 1% of their productive capacity per year. The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) performed a meta-analysis of studies that examined the long term degradation rates of various PV panels. They found that the 1% per year rule was somewhat pessimistic for panels made prior to the year 2000, and today’s panels, with better technology and improved manufacturing techniques, have even more stamina than their predecessors. For monocrystalline silicon, the most commonly used panel for commercial and residential PV, the degradation rate is less than 0.5% for panels made before 2000, and less than 0.4% for panels made after 2000. That means that a panel manufactured today should produce 92% of its original power after 20 years, quite a bit higher than the 80% estimated by the 1% rule.Gibbs doesn't technically lie when he put in the quote that says "some solar panels are built to only last ten years" because I suspect that there are probably solar panels being made for something like lawn lights or a child's toy that this is true. But that's not relevant to the thesis of the film, and putting it in the film will confuse many casual viewers into thinking that PV panels are a scam.
Moreover, Gibbs doesn't allow for the potential that PV panels can be recycled. According to this website, they can.
These are two different recycling process for two of the most common types of PV panels: silicon-based ones on your left, thin-film on your right. |
&&&&
OK. Anybody can make a mistake. But how about this example? (It comes at a little over 42 minutes into the film.)
Basically, the intrepid film makers go to the one of the nine power facilities of the giant Solar Energy Generating System (SEGS) in California. The naive viewer of the above clip would think that the entire system has been shut down and removed. But as near as I can tell, that's simply not true.
According to a blog by Ketan Joshi, the facility is currently up and running---with no abandoned or non-functional parts. I went into Google Earth and looked up the "Solar Energy Generating System California", and got this screen grab.
According to a blog by Ketan Joshi, the facility is currently up and running---with no abandoned or non-functional parts. I went into Google Earth and looked up the "Solar Energy Generating System California", and got this screen grab.
Here's a satellite image of the array in 2015. |
The date of this photo that comes up with my Google Pro viewer (you won't see the date with the on-line version) is September 5th, 2015. There was also no mention of the SEGS system being dismantled in the Wikipedia article on it. Joshi's commentary on it is as follows:
Without knowing when the footage was taken, the only likely explanation for this is the pair of dudes visited the site midway through the point at which one of the fields was being removed and replaced with newer models, something which has happened several times over the past few decades.&&&&
These are two examples that I've chosen to look into, but I suspect that there are lots of similar fibs, over-generalizations, and, dubious analogies. Gibbs uses what philosophers call "the Gish gallop". That's an informal logic error that happens when someone quickly throws a barrage of lies, half-truths, innuendos, etc, at someone and never allows him or her the time to think about the relative truth of what has been said. This turns on the fact that it takes a lot longer to analyze whether or not a specific statement is believable than it does to just say it. Gibbs says a lot of things in his film that I find hard to believe, but it has taken me quite a few hours to just deal with the two specific issues I've raised above. Most people don't have the time or ability to truth check what Gibbs is saying, so a lot of folks will simply take what he says at face value---which would be a very bad thing.
(If people are looking for a suggestion about how they should respond to this sort of thing, I'd recommend something that you might want to call "the Hulet hammer". That is, when you find someone like Gibbs playing "fast and loose" with the truth, simply decide that you will never listen to a word he says ever again. It's true that even a stopped clock is right twice a day, but the problem is that unless you have a properly functioning clock too, you won't be able to tell exactly what times of day the stopped clock is right. Frankly, I "hammered" Michael Moore a long time ago, but when my friend contacted me, I thought I might get an op ed out of it.)
&&&&
The really annoying thing about Gibbs is that I think that I agree with the point he was trying to make, but he did such an appallingly bad job of saying it, that it totally destroys the utility of the film. Here's a clip from an interview that I found on line.
He says that the ultimate problem that we are facing is too many people consuming too much and makes the bizarre claim that "we don't even have a name or words for this". Well, yes we do---we call it "overpopulation" and "greed".
There's nothing in this that I disagree with. But that message gets damaged by the out-and-out bullshit that he spreads all over the film. If someone puts as much misleading nonsense in his message as Gibbs does, the only rational thing to do is ignore everything he says. Moreover, he's just created a powerful resource for people who want to stop the government from actually doing anything about the Climate Emergency. You better believe that clips of his film are already being shared around the "alt-right" networks as proof that "so-called climate change is a socialist plot", as Stephen Harper used to say.
&&&&
There are other things that are problematic about this film.
He does the stupid "gotcha quotes" thing when he approaches people like Al Gore and Bill McKibben. If he'd made the effort to really try to get to know these people, he'd probably realize that environmental leaders tend to have an extremely deep and nuanced understanding of these issues. But they are heavily constrained by the system that they inhabit.
I've known a fair number of local "celebrity environmentalists" and the majority of them are far, far, far more radical in their assessment of the problems we face than you would ever know from what they say in public. That's because they are constrained by the institutional situation they find themselves in. One of Leonard Cohen's poems has the lines "They sentenced me to twenty years of boredom / For trying to change the system from within." That's what it's like to work as an elected green politician or manage an environmental Non-Governmental Organization (NGO). You have to dumb-down your message to the point where you often feel that you are being dishonest. That's not because you are a bad person, it's because so many people you need to donate money or support your legislation will simply tune you out if you try to educate them about how bad things really are and what we need to do if we are going to turn things around.
People in positions like this don't have the luxury of following the facts where they lead them. That's something that a journalist like me or a film maker like Gibbs can do. The problem with Gibbs is that for some reason he decided that it was better to cite a convenient falsehood than actually get to the nub of the problem.
&&&&
Think about this, if you will. This godawful stinker of a movie will be seen by a lot more people than this review. That's because it appeals to what's worst in people. Well, why not show the world that instead you want to see well-researched, thoughtful analysis instead? You can do that by subscribing through Patreon or Pay Pal. A dollar a month is fine, and you will be showing the world that you think there should be more than just sensationalist crud on the Web.
&&&&
There's another element to this that needs discussing. Gibbs---like Moore---doesn't believe in rational discourse. Instead, they absolutely blast viewers with emotional images. For example, he talks about using waste fat as part of bio-fuels and shoves in this short clip to illustrate what he's talking about.
Maybe it's because I've studied philosophy, maybe it's because of my childhood being surrounded by out-of-control, hyper-emotional, angry people, but I do not think that any issue is served by an empty appeal to emotions. That's what demagogues do to whip the mob into a frenzy.
This isn't to say that there is no place for emotions. I'm a fairly emotional person myself. And I think Greta Thunberg's emotional tongue-lashings of the "powers that be" have done a lot of good. But the difference is that young Greta is real in a way that I suspect Gibbs can never be. What she says is spontaneous, honest, and, from the heart. Gibbs' movie is contrived, gratuitous, and, artificial. He didn't just say what he feels---he sought out some sort of really nasty footage from a dead stock operation, contacted the person who owns the rights, and, paid them to be able to put it in the film.
That's not about letting the public know about the Climate Emergency. It's about artificially exciting people's emotions to create an extremely heightened sense of concern about the future. It's exactly the same thing that a pornographer does when he records images aimed at exciting the sex drive of jaded people. Jeff Gibbs is a pornographer and Planet of the Humans is doomer porn.
He suggests that what he is trying to do is "create awareness".
There is a common belief among some people that if you just show people how tremendously awful things are, they will change the way they act. I'm of the opinion that that doesn't work. Instead, making people feel bad about the future, IMHO, just makes people "shut down" and disengage. Our media is full of stories about how bad things are, but what is lacking is a description of an alternative future where things are better and a serious road map that outlines how we can get from here to there. That's the sort of movie I would have liked to see. Unfortunately, I don't think Gibbs (or Moore, for that matter) are good enough film makers to do such a thing. Too bad.
&&&&
This is getting a bit long, so let me leave Gibbs at this point and briefly mention something that we should all be thinking about right now.
Up until about two months ago I don't think many people believed that a nation could "turn on a dime" and totally change the way it does things. Well, almost all the governments of the world were told by their scientific advisers that a new disease had emerged that was a threat to a great many people. And almost all the governments decided to do something that had never happened before---they asked their societies to shut down their economy. Most citizens gladly went along with the quarantine orders. And most governments have opened up their purses to help many of the people hardest hit by the economic "freeze". In the space of a couple weeks our societies went onto a war footing.
But this is the strangest "war footing" that the human race has ever seen. We didn't fly in planes, we didn't drive our cars, we didn't do much of anything that really wasn't about having enough to eat, keeping a roof over our heads, and, helping sick people. The result was a dramatic improvement in the environment and I believe that a great many people have also redefined what is important in their lives.
I have hope that the Neo-Liberal consensus is gone and it will never return. We now know that it is possible for the population to be mobilized by strong leadership to do great things. And if we can do it for COVID-19, we can do it for climate change. Gibbs is right, technology will not "save us" as we go through the 21st century bottle-neck. But public mobilization using appropriate technology can. Unfortunately, I think Gibbs doesn't understand enough about anything to be any help in getting people to change their behaviour. Instead, I think his film will probably be more of a hindrance. It deserves to be quickly relegated to the dust heap of history.
&&&&
Moreover, I say onto you, the Climate Emergency must be dealt with!
Moreover, I say onto you, the Climate Emergency must be dealt with!
ReplyDeleteAbsolutely!!!
I am not going to defend the movie, but I will discuss our electric grid here in Ontario. Let me start by saying I will share my views in as fair light and be as true to my facts as I know them.
Early in 2004, a non-profit group called the Ontario Power Authority was formed. Their mandate was to report to the Ontario Energy Board recommendations on the restructuring of Ontario's electrical grid.
One of the biggest concerns was from Toronto Hydro, who raised the concern that with R.L. Hearn and Lakeview generating stations being shutdown there was no generators attached or available locally. This was a grid security issue for the city of Toronto and GTA. So one of the initial recommendations was to build a natural gas fired electricity generator at the foot of the Don Valley on the Portlands Cement property, next to the old Hearn station. Other natural gas fired electricity generators ere planned and built on the west side, north side, east side and one was planned for Oakville. Of course we all know the controversy around the natural Gas electricity generator in Oakville.
So the security of electric supply to Toronto and the GTA was accomplished using these Natural Gas fired electricity generating stations.
The next issue to deal with was the closing of Nanticoke Coal Fired electricity generation plant.
If we're going to be messianic, shouldn't that be 'unto'?
DeleteThe funny thing about people who complain bitterly about grammar and spelling is that they don't realize that the vast majority of the time it's a question of a keystroke error, spell checkers, and, the tremendous time limitations that putting out a story every week place on someone who is writing for the media.
DeleteBefore I continue the fundamentals of our electricity grid in Ontario should be understood. There are two components of our grid, Base Load Generators and Peak load generators. Nuclear power and Hydro are the prime sources of baseload generation. Some hydro, is also used for peaking power. Nanicoke was almost exclusively a peak power generator. The highest peak loads natural occur in the cold of winter and the heat of summer (Air Condition).
ReplyDeleteLarge Wind generation was introduced to our generation mix. Wind profiles in Ontario are generally not optimum for Large scale wind farms. However there are some regions with wind profiles that are adequate. These are Shelborne region, eastern shores of lake Huron, the shores of Lake St. Clair, North-west shores of Lake Erie, eastern end of Lake Ontario. I believe also north shore of Lake Superior. One of the other factors regarding wind in Ontario is the lack of wind in the winter and summer compared to available winds in Spring and Fall.
The OPA recommended the installation of large scale wind farms in the above mentioned areas. The concern of the grid operators was what to do when the wind suddenly stopped as it is prone to do in Ontario. This unreliable wind situation was accommodated by the construction of more natural gas fired electricity generators. Since 2006 more than 5000MWe natural gas fired electricity generation has been installed in Ontario. Natural gas fired electricity in Ontario has an installed capacity of approximately 14,000 MWe the most of any of our sources of power. More than Nuclear and more than Hydro. The good news is most of this is only used in periods of high demand, Winter and Summer. Some natural Gas fired electricity generation is used daily to met grid security requirements and localized high load demands.
Natural gas fired generation is also used for reserve power requirements these are usually ten minute reserves and thirty minute reserves. This means that Natural Gas fired electricity generators are operating on hot standby, burning Natural Gas but producing no electricity unless called for to meet peak demands. In addition due to the uncertainty of wind in Ontario, the need for quick loading natural gas fired generators means more of these natural gas fired electricity plants are running in hot standby. Burning Natural Gas to stay hot, but not required to produce electricity. So in fact because of wind generation and the uncertainty of wind in Ontario, the Ontario grid needs more Natural Gas electricity generators in hot standby than they would without any wind generation.
Spring and fall the time for unit maintenance outages. The demand in Ontario is at its lowest in the spring and fall, so this is the time most electrical generators have their outages scheduled. Example one reactor at each of the 5 nuclear generation stations is likely to have a unit outage. (5 being Pickering A & B; Bruce A & B and Darlington. In addition this the time for any Hydro or Natural Gas fired electricity generator maintenance outages. The good news this is when wind generation in Ontario is at its peak. In fact wind generation is often so large that hydro generation gets backed down.
Solar power is much more predictable than wind generation and therefore is more easily incorporated into the base load generation plan on a daily basis. Solar is predictable, if it is expected clear sunny weather Solar will be available and that when the sun goes down the generation stops.
I am by no means an expert on the complexity of our Ontario Electrical grid. I know nothing about reservoir management and river flow management other than they are also important and complicated considerations in Ontario's use of Hydro electric power.
I hope that you find this a fair evaluation of the history and complexity of our Ontario electric power grid and our use of the renewable energies Wind and Solar.