Sunday, February 10, 2019

Political Corruption


You corrupt bastard! ;-)
Phil Alt, from his website
This week I was involved in a discussion on Reddit about Phil Alt's recent attempt to ride the bus for a week to understand how well it works. He gave up after a few days because he found it too slow for him to manage to attend all the different meetings. This led to a conversation about public transit and why it is that Guelph doesn't seem to be able to come up with a better bus system. One person opined that it is important to realize that "all politicians are corrupt", and that that explains a great deal.

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The idea that politicians are "corrupt" gets thrown around an awful lot. This upsets me because I have known quite a few politicians fairly well and I've never had the feeling that any of them were involved for personal gain. Instead, they were all people who worked very hard at a very difficult job purely because they had an altruistic desire to help others.

So what's going on?

I think that for many people a variety of different issues have become conflated in the minds of people with "corruption". I think it might help the discussion if I first tried to parse out some of them.

Working with the other parties

Among the crowd I hang out with, a lot of folks are very upset about Justin Trudeau reneging on the promise that he was going to change the way we count votes for elections. 

It appeared to us lowly voters that Trudeau favoured a ranked ballot system of voting but the NDP and Greens instead supported a more formally proportional system. (The Conservatives wanted to keep the present system.) Since a consensus wasn't emerging between the Liberals and the other Left-of-centre parties, he decided to "pull the plug" on the whole thing. 

Did Trudeau break his promise? Maybe yes and maybe no. Personally, I'd say that a ranked ballot system would have been a big improvement over first-past-the-post. If you accept this point, then the blame can be just as easily  put on the NDP and Greens for refusing to settle for half a loaf. After all, the Liberals did win the election, so it is reasonable to expect that they would have more say over the reform than the other parties. If you think that Trudeau cynically promised something that he never intended to actually do, then I suppose you could call him "dishonest"---which is a form of corruption. But if you think---as I do---that he offered an opportunity to the NDP and Greens, but they refused to take advantage of it, then it wasn't corruption so much as being naive to think that they would settle for a system that doesn't directly serve their interests.

Settling for the possible instead of doing what's "right"

The Liberals say that they want to get us off fossil fuels but at the same time they are also trying to get a pipeline built that will help the filthy tar sands to overseas markets. Any honest person who has been paying attention to climate scientists has to know that the best option is to leave the oil in the ground. But there are so many people in this country who support the oil industry that it is political suicide to say this. This is why Trudeau feels the need to support the pipeline, as does the provincial NDP. That's what he means when he says he is trying to get "social license" for things like a carbon tax.

Does this mean that Trudeau and the Liberals are lying when they say that they want to take substantive moves towards dealing with climate change? No. It means that they realize that if they move on the file without building a consensus among the community that we need to do this, they run the risk of being clobbered in the next election. And if this happened, they realize that they would not be replaced by the NDP or Greens, but by the Conservatives---who have built their brand around sabotaging any attempt to get off fossil fuels. If you have the opportunity to gain power, you have a responsibility not to throw it away to someone else who would be objectively worse. That's not corruption, it's doing the right thing.

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Being blinded by ideology

This is not the ship of state!
Photo by Topory, c/o Wiki Commons
Politicians often run for office saying that they will "cut red tape" and "find efficiencies". But when this doesn't happen, and taxes don't go down, the people who voted for them often complain bitterly about "all politicians are the same". The problem is that the largest fraction of a government's cost is payroll. And all employees are governed by binding legal agreements, usually through union agreements. In addition, most of the projects that the government undertakes take longer to achieve than a government mandate. This means that any given regime ends up saddled with a lot of the financial undertakings of the previous one. And a government cannot simply "rip up contracts" without suffering severe penalties. (Think about Doug Ford and the cap-and-trade agreement---.) 

The ship of state isn't a nimble laser sailboat, it's more like a giant container ship. And anyone who says that they can do big things like cut taxes without running up huge deficits or dramatically cutting services is probably being ridiculously naive. But being naive is not the same thing as being corrupt. A lot of people in our world have a tendency to see everything through the lens of their ideology. I don't know if this is something hard-wired into their brains or if it was something that was pounded into their heads by society. But the fact is a lot of folks have a very hard time seeing individual facts, connecting the dots, and, coming up with their own take on the world. Instead, they start off with an idea about how the world operates and ignore any evidence that contradicts it. Unfortunately, a lot of people like this have the drive needed to get into high office. Luckily, many of them get somewhat "woken up" by the experience of being sworn in and start listening to their experts. Others find that there is a whole set of "checks and balances" set up to prevent really stupid decisions from being made. But if you are someone from the outside looking in---and you still believe in the ideology that got the guy elected---it can look like the fellow was lying just to get elected. I would suggest that this may sometimes happen, but it's much more likely that they simply didn't understand how complicated government really is.    

This is more like it:  huge, with a turning radius measured in miles.
Photo by Frank Schwichtenberg, c/o Wiki Commons

Confusing the individual with the system that traps them

I would suggest that the real reason why some folks tend to say that "all politicians are corrupt" is because the individuals who say this have a hard time distinguishing between an individual person and the system that they find themselves enmeshed in. I can understand why people look at things this way. Our entire legal system places all the emphasis on the fictional belief that each individual has the choice to "freely choose" one action over another at every point in her life. Many people's religion teaches the same thing: each person is freely able to "choose" whether or not to embrace an imaginary friend---and on that basis either end up in paradise or some sort of eternal Auschwitz-Birkenau.

Most thoughtful people consider this absurd. People are constrained by a whole range of factors:  genetics, the way we were raised, our education, life experience, health, etc. And the institutions we work within have a huge impact on who we are. That's why psychologists talk about long-term prisoners being "institutionalized". It's also why people say "you can't change the system", instead "the system will change you". People who get upset and complain that "politicians are corrupt" are doing so because they cannot see the profound limitations that our society puts on the freedom of individuals in leadership positions. Some of these are no doubt important checks and balances of the sort that have limited Donald Trump's reign of error. Others are more insidious and protect "powers and principalities" that should have had their influence nipped long ago. 

I would suggest that one of the strongest impediments to real change for the better is this tendency by many people to focus on the individual personality of the leader (ie: by doing things like calling her "corrupt") instead of on the way "the system" limits her ability to do some things while making it impossible for her to stop others from doing other things. In other words, we need to stop thinking of politics as psychology and instead think of it as systems theory. 


6 comments:

  1. As always, I appreciate your reasoned approach to these matters.

    I was wondering then what you thought of the claim made by the Globe and Mail that Trudeau is corrupt because of the SNC-Lavalin investigation and his interference in Justice Minister and Attorney General Jody Wilson-Raybould's refusal to derail the investigation. That sounds like corruption to me and not just difficulty wading through the many layers of issues and various departments. And when she refused he sent her to Veteran's Affairs or some other less significant Ministerial post.

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  2. I'm trying to suspend my judgement about the Lavalin affair until I learn more. But some of the ideas that come to mind are as follows:

    I heard somewhere that as many as 10,000 people in Quebec work for Lavalin. And also that if it is convicted of corruption it will be "locked out" of govt contracts for a set period of time. I can't see how a big construction company could survive if it was locked out of govt contracts, so all those jobs are potentially at stake. If this is true, then the govt does have a duty to balance the interests of justice against that of people's livelihood.

    Secondly, as I understand it, the Charbonneau Commission showed that bribery was endemic in Quebec for decades. If so, I don't see how any engineering firm like Lavalin could have possibly survived without giving bribes. So it might simply be a deeply-ingrained part of its corporate culture. But if so, who's to blame? The company? Or the police and political class that were OK with the mob running the construction industry?

    As for Jody Wilson-Raybould---my understanding is that she has said she cannot comment because of "Lawyer-Client privilege". I don't know enough of such things to have an opinion of whether this is a dodge or a legitimate thing to say.

    I was recently stampeded into having an opinion about a kid facing off against a First Nation's elder singing in Washington DC. That experience still stings and I'm a little shy about having an opinion about fast-breaking news---at least for now.

    Thanks for you kind words about the original post---.

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  3. Hi Bill - Perhaps we should have tea?

    A challenge I see with ranked ballots will generally return a majority government, rather than a government that represents the will of the people. Parliament is gong show because the decision are not being made in parliament - they are being made in cabinet, and then MPs/MPPs are coerced into rubber stamping those decision.

    Did you know, that there were 80 some experts that spoke in favour of PR at the ERRE, and 2 that spoke in favour of single member ranked ballots? Maybe they were wrong, and the switching from one majoritarian system to another would have been progress. Australia is an interesting case in point - they use Justin's Alternate Vote of single member ranked ballot for their Senate and it has devolved into a 2 Party system. They use Ranked Ballot PR (STV) in their upper house. Much more thoughtful government is possible when there is the stability of having the government actually represent the people - rather than big $$ spent in specific ridings that results in one Party getting 100% of the power. Check out https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electoral_system_of_Australia

    Michael Chong has provided an excellent review of the power of the Prime Ministers Office. Over 99% of the time MPs vote according to their leaders will. This is not the case in Britain - it is about 70% of the time. Chong attempted to remedy the situation with his Reform Bill - which was gutted. So I tend to say our voting system twists local representatives to become accountable to their Party leaders instead of representing us.

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    1. Tea would be nice. Email me. ;-)

      No doubt about it, a ranked ballot is a half loaf instead of the whole thing. But reform generally isn't about getting everything you want in the first go. Usually it involves incremental improvements over a long time. One thing about moving to ranked ballot would be that the idea that you cannot change the voting system without a referendum would finally be removed.

      The other thing is that we need to remember every time you change the voting system you are going to change the political parties too. First-past-the-post with multiple parties encourages extremism because the important point is to throw red meat to your base to motivate them. Consensus isn't important if you only need 43% of the vote to win all the marbles. In contrast, ranked ballots encourage civility because you want to have supporters of other parties put you down as their second choice.

      One thing is for sure, Doug Ford's Conservatives would never have won a majority with a ranked ballot vote.

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  4. Ok for tea.

    Did you get a chance to look at how things operate in Australia? Ranked Ballot eliminates all but 2 Parties, so we would end up looking like the a USA. With just two Parties and it is not clear to me there is a road to become more democratic, with more votes counting and more consensus. Yes we would go from 43% to 50% of the vote to get 100% of the power, but we would lose the opportunity for minority governments, which I believe give good government.

    Mmmm. Doug Ford would have been elected in a 2 Party system ... Trump was.

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  5. I don't know much about Australia, but there are a lot of things wrong with the American electoral system: the electoral college, voter suppression, Gerrymandering, etc, etc. I'm not willing to accept that transferable votes always result in a two-party system either---unless I see some significant evidence. I did do a quick search online and the Wikipedia says the following: " Following the 2016 federal election, the Australian Greens have nine senators and one member in the lower house, 23 elected representatives across state and territory parliaments, more than 100 local councillors,[5] and over 15,000 party members (as of 2016)." That would seem to indicate to me that there are more than two parties in Australia, but as I said before, I don't know much about the country so I am ready to be corrected.

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